I cannot be sure what the true nature of this story is but
given the way it's being framed by RFE/RL and the involvement of outlets such
as Bellingcat I am led to believe that it is something of a false expose',
serving as a means of cover-up.
Is this a story about Chinese corruption at work in
Kyrgyzstan? Some outlets have framed it that way. Interestingly RFE/RL did not
and yet I am also less than satisfied with how they are presenting it. They're
on to something but at the same time it's as if they're holding back.
The region is abuzz with activity. Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan
straddle the borders of Xinjiang and are the logical places for running a
Uighur insurgency – one that China is certainly expecting. The US has sent a
very strong signal in removing the al Qaeda affiliated East Turkestan
Islamic Movement (ETIM) from the official terrorism list. It's a signal
that they're going to receive official (if quiet) support. It's even a step
beyond the tacit support the US provided for al Nusra (al Qaeda) in Syria.
We have a Uighur money launderer connected to bagmen and al Nusra/al
Qaeda Islamist militants in Syria – the forces being backed by the United
States in its war against Bashir Assad. Many of these same fighters have been
moving in and out of Europe through the Turkish-Balkans pipeline. There are
also connections to Libya that keep popping up in the news.
This whole operation points to a smuggling operation
connecting Syrian al Nusra cells with Central Asia. The most likely commodities
are weapons and fighters and the large sums of money it will take to move them
clandestinely into the region. To get them into Kyrgyzstan one would need
government acquiescence or in its absence one would have to either bribe
government officials to look the other way as planes land at rural airfields or
to border officials to close their eyes to a pipeline of men and materiel
coming up from Afghanistan – a place that would be easy to shuttle men and
weapons in and out of especially if facilitated by US/NATO troops.
Something happened and Saimaiti was killed for whistleblowing
(he went to the wrong people) or there may have been some side issue of
corruption on his part. Clearly Matraimov is being portrayed as the villain in
the story. Is he the corrupt official that got too greedy and is being fingered
as a result? Is he the patsy? In reality this is probably tied in with the
nation's political upheaval and ongoing struggle for power. The politics tore
apart alliances and allegiances and broke the clandestine network. The story
got out. Matraimov's allies are tied to recently ousted president Sooronbay Jeenbekov
and so one wonders if the story is to some degree directed toward the ex-president
and his faction?
RFE/RL will report on it and yet not provide the whole story
or in relying on Bellingcat (which continues to play an important if dubious
and controversial role in this and other conflict zones) will it simply report
what is already out there and yet suppress the fuller story?
This piece is meant to indicate that the hard investigative
journalism is being done. The story is being covered. Except it isn't. It's
only scratching the service and trying to hang the whole thing around the neck
of one corrupt official (and the Chinese of course) and yet given the scope of
what's happening Matraimov is at best a medium-size fish. If the investigation
stops with him, the investigation turns into a cover-up. That said RFE/RL could
easily spin the story into an anti-Beijing piece but in printing this as it
stands, they have left the door open to wider consideration. The journalists
aren't always micromanaged. It will be interesting to see how the story continues
to develop.
At present I think the reason Matraimov is being targeted is
that he was double-crossing some of the people above him and acting as a
Chinese agent. It would be easy enough to believe that this whole story is
about China and a corruption scandal related to OBOR but that doesn't explain
the Syria-Islamist connection – which points to the West. Given that the US is
certainly planning to support a Uighur insurgency, the story forces me to look
less toward Beijing and more toward places like Langley, Incirlik, or Ankara.
I think this story is but the tip of the iceberg, a tiny
window into a larger darker world and a series of operations and interests that
stretch across Eurasia. There are no conclusions and indeed they may never be
known but it's interesting, and helps one begin to understand what is happening
in Central Asia and how the region is plugged into the wider scope of
geopolitical struggle.
See also:
http://pilgrimunderground.blogspot.com/2020/10/kyrgyzstans-latest-round-of-unrest.html
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