The quest to drive Jeremy Corbyn from Labour leadership has
not abated. Though the UK political situation is not grabbing the same
headlines it did a few weeks ago, the British Establishment is nevertheless
concerned. The government of Theresa May is not well established and there is
this ever-gnawing fear and real possibility of a snap election.
These scenarios mean Corbyn could still end up becoming Prime
Minister. And to those in the Establishment... that cannot happen.
The Labour Leadership poll at the end of September will prove
a critical moment. If they fail to drive Corbyn from power, then the
Establishment will become very desperate.
Corbyn is attacked for his ostensibly poor leadership skills
and his lack of zeal in opposing Brexit.
The truth is Corbyn is hated because he doesn't have a proper
and accepted commitment to NATO, Anglo-American imperialism and official
doctrine concerning nuclear weapons. The military class loathes him.
He has failed to exhibit proper hostility to Russia and is
being subjected to a mild version of Neo-McCarthyism, a witch hunt determined
to eliminate anyone who doesn't get on board with the official position.
Thus far, Corbyn has failed to really stand for much of
anything. He's already been exposed as a
non-fighter... with the exception of retaining his post as Labour leader. His
intransigence on that point sparks fear because it means that somewhere under
the humble exterior lies an ego and a sense of resolve. His weakness thus far
cannot be guaranteed were he to be given a position of greater power.
"real possibility of a snap election"
ReplyDeleteUnder the fixed term Westminster Parliament act (resulting in a general election in May every 5 years with the next scheduled for May 2015) that could only happen if the act was repealed or replaced by a new act, or there was a successfuly vote of no confidence in the government and the hereditary head of state, Mrs. Schleswig-Holstein-Sonderburg-Glücksburg (neé Saxe-Coburg and Gotha), would then have to decide that the opposition parties could not form a minority government and thus call for the dissolution of the Westminster Parliament and a general election.
It is improbable that a sufficient number of the current Conservative and Unionist Party members of the House of Commons of the Westminster Parliament would vote against their own government in alliance with other parties and risk the anger of their own constituency party and constituency voters.
Not impossible but unlikely and the scenario would tend to be on a point of principle and a near certainty that a majority of Conservative and Unionist Party members would be elected. This latter point is widely believed to be the case in view of the current apparent low standing of the Labour Party in the opinion polls, but as has been repeately demonstrated since the last Westminster Parliament general election, opnion polls are increasingly proven wrong in the only poll that counts.
Meanwhile it appears that Corbyn is going to be re-elected leader of the Labour Party with an even larger majority of votes than in his first election, and this MAY lead to the exodus of significant numbers of those on the right wing of the party leaving to create a new party.
If so, history will be repeating its-self (Gang of Four, Limehouse Declaraion 1981, and the SDP)
and well all know how ultimately unsuccessul that turned out, but the potential for defections this time appears to be very much greater.
"Corbyn has failed to really stand for much of anything"
Well when he could not find two unoccupied and unreserved adjacent seats on a train from Kings Cross to Newcastle-Upon-Tyne for his wife and himself, he sat down on the floor of the train even thought onboard train crew offered him and his wife a free upgrade to 1st Class seating. Eventaully another couple in adjacent seats were offered the free upgrade instead and Corbyn and his wife took their seats. Some opinion polls claim that Corbyn's 'traingate' row with Virgin Trains actually made him more popular with his supporters, whereas others have criticized him for displayin a lack of organisational ability in reserving seats (at no additional cost) when buying the train tickets and telling the initial lie that there were no seats available at all.
"he doesn't have a proper and accepted commitment to NATO"
Nor it appears (if he can be believed) does Donald Trump, the Republican Party candidate for President. In post-Soviet Europe, the European states need the NATO umbrella more than the USofA needs NATO.