04 March 2018

Setting the Stage for the New Cold War


Stephen Cohen is one of the few courageous voices that has broken with academia and has dared to speak out against the Establishment's Anti-Russia narrative. Castigated by some, called a stooge and Russian agent by others, he has stood his ground. The lessons and realities of history are on his side and there's a real comfort in that, especially in the face of storm and assault. Those who study history with open eyes will know great sorrow and frustration. They will often stand alone but having walked the paths of the past... they need not fear the judgment and condemnation of others. They've seen it all before.


Cohen has astutely attempted to boil down the context of the conflict with Russia. He sets out various 'double-standards' that have driven Russia to seemingly take an aggressive posture... one deemed offensive and threatening by the West, but one that in reality is defensive, the bitter fruit of many setbacks and from Moscow's perspective... an existential threat of disintegration, partition and strife. What are these double standards?
1. Sphere of Security
In addition to what is mentioned by Cohen, an argument could be made regarding the threat of political instability... the very thing the West accuses Russia of doing.
The West sponsored the 2014 coup in the Ukraine and this was subsequent to the machinations and tug-of-war in Kiev that had already been underway for more than decade. Both camps have colluded with and sponsored oligarchs leaving Ukraine a cauldron of corruption.
But as Poland and Hungary risk slipping away from the EU orbit, there's the real possibility of future intervention... even on a humanitarian or policing basis. While Poland is favourable to US missiles and for historical reasons fears Russia (and Germany), Warsaw is increasingly at odds with Brussels. The EU is already threatened by multiple fissures and a rebel-state in its midst may eventually be reckoned to be an existential threat.
Orban's Hungary is growing increasingly hostile to Brussels and is starting to turn a more favourable eye toward Moscow. While this doesn't mean that Orban wants to invite the Russians in, there's too much history for that, he is nevertheless providing a pretense for NATO intervention.
2. Justification for Eastern European Military Build-up
Cohen correctly points out that the US-NATO alliance has an equally dubious record when it comes to promises made. If the West has reason to distrust Putin, he has no reason to trust any assurance or anything said to him by NATO affiliated diplomats. It's yet another chapter in the Latin-Byzantine saga of schism, betrayal and mistrust.
Personal relationships are built on trust but most international relationships are built on the notion of mutual interests. Putin attempted to establish this basis for a relationship with the Bush administration. He assumed the US sought stability and sincerely wanted to fight Islamic terrorism. Rebuffed by the United States, his nation betrayed and moved against on multiple fronts, Putin has reacted... some might say with restraint. Of course considering the West is making military moves on his borders and manipulating politics at his front doorstep, he has reason to be alarmed. Additionally he knows what many people in the world also know but the American public is ignorant of... the US is not actually interested in fighting terrorism. That's not what the War on Terror is all about. In fact the US has a long track record of supporting and collaborating with Islamic terrorists and after a brief interlude, Washington has reverted to its historical pattern.
3. The 2008 Georgian War
This conflict has already been forgotten by the bulk of the Western public but obviously it strikes a raw nerve in the Caucasus and the diplomatic community not only remembers it, they use false narratives to bolster their arguments. Georgia under the now discredited Saakashvili was backed by the United States and doing the bidding of certain figures connected to the US Deep State. While the US supported Georgia, many were less than pleased about how Saakashvili conducted himself.
And yet if he had won and driven Russia out of South Ossetia, he would have been hailed as a hero and rewarded. His failure allowed certain factions in the US to demand Tbilisi's entrance into NATO and perhaps even the EU. Putin knew what the US was doing in the Caucasus and thus he was determined to quickly defeat and humiliate Saakashvili, and he succeeded.
The Caucasus are a geopolitical mess, the legacy of the Russian and Ottoman Empires. The situation was exacerbated by Stalin who in response to Anglo-American schemes in Iran, carved up Azerbaijan, and during World War II deported entire populations due to a fear they would ally with the invading Germans. The legacy of this brutality lives on and unfortunately at this point, there are no easy solutions. Western intervention and pot-stirring will only make a bad situation much worse... something the US is quite keen to do. The US has on again off again supported Chechen Salafi paramilitaries and terrorists who when under pressure, retreat to Georgia and openly walk the streets of NATO member Turkey. This is not a new development or some plot hatched by Erdogan. This reality antedates his ascension to power and if anything his policy will be to close these loopholes and for the present work with Russia... not against it as the American Empire would insist.
4. Bombing Campaigns
The Syrian War has been a pack of lies since the very beginning. Rather than revisit the whole narrative, Cohen simply points out the hypocrisy in the media's coverage of the Russian bombing of Aleppo as opposed to the US sponsored campaigns in Mosul and Raqqa. Apart from a handful of reports and a moment or two of fleeting criticism, US brutality and civilian casualties were simply glossed over. Meanwhile not only was the Russian campaign spun to the extreme, the entire situation related to Aleppo has been misrepresented. While RT is mercilessly attacked by the US State Department and its Silicon Valley proxies, Western media continues to rely on dubious news stories promoted by intelligence agency fronts... the UK based SOHR and the White Helmets.
5. Hypocrisy with regard to Crimea
In addition to pointing out US and International hypocrisy when it comes to other nations, Cohen could have pointed out the history of Crimea, the reasons why (despite historical precedent) it was attached to Ukraine during the Soviet era, the nature and composition of its population and previous attempts at sundering its relationship with Ukraine. Additionally, Crimea is a key strategic locale for the Russian navy which helps to explain why Moscow was so desperate to keep Crimea in its orbit.
At this point the role of the Crimean Tatars is somewhat 'up in the air'. At one time they would have been natural allies of Turkey where most of them live and thus proxies for Western interests and even paramilitary assault. And yet, Turkey under Erdogan is in the process of shifting gears and moving away from NATO. Where does this leave Pan-Turkism in the larger Eurasian game? It's hard to say. Pan-Turkism so long supported and utilised by the United States seems to be in a state of flux. In the past it would have been easy to believe that elements within the Turkish military could/would operate outside the scope of Ankara and whatever its policy might be. These Deep State elements would work with their NATO masters and yet Erdogan has largely purged the state bureaucracy and at this point it's not clear what kind of resistance and independence remains.
6. Media Manipulation and Right-wing politics
It's refreshing to hear someone challenging the 'Russia is stoking the flames of American tension' narrative. Do people really think that the various social tensions in the United States, the troubles over race and the plight of the working class would just go away if it weren't for a concentrated Russian media campaign? This has proven a rather convenient means for the DNC to dismiss its own failures and betrayals with regard to its traditional base. The Anti-Russia campaign (along with the equally McCarthyite #MeToo witch-hunt) is being squeezed for all its worth. It's being used to justify a foreign policy, censorship, a media crackdown and the growing powers of a police state. Popular grievance is not only delegitimised, the voices are being criminalised. It's quite remarkable, masterful even but the campaign is entirely dependent on a subservient media and an ignorant, malleable populace.
If democracy is said to be fragile, the Establishment's Anti-Russia campaign exposes how easily it can be manipulated and how fraudulent the US system actually is. Is democracy in trouble in the United States? It's in a state of crisis and actually has been for some time. The cancer is metastasising and beginning to manifest itself across the societal spectrum.
Additionally, while the growth of the Right in the United States is being blamed on Moscow, the US continues its longstanding and established policy of using Right-wing politics to enact is policies abroad. This is true in Ukraine and once again it is both striking and telling how Western media has failed to report on this story. The recent fascist parade in Kiev which would have generated international headlines had it occurred in London, Paris, Rome, Madrid, Washington or Berlin... was all but ignored by Western media. If this doesn't prove media collaboration with Washington and NATO, I don't know what does. This story alone (or rather lack of story) should send up red flags regarding the trustworthiness of Western media.
While Trump's buffoonish denunciations of fake news mean little and only muddy the waters, there is a real crisis of fake news and it's nothing new. One might say it's gotten much worse in recent years but the campaign would not be successful unless the general public had already been conditioned over decades and even generations.
7. Election Meddling
As Cohen rightly points out, despite all the bluster and deliberately confused reporting on the various scandals... some of which are real, there still has (as of this date) been no demonstrable proof of direct Russian meddling in the election or even a grand conspiracy between Moscow, the Trump Campaign and Wikileaks. There's smoke but the claims of fire are thus far based on badly reasoned and faulty assumptions. It reminds one of some of the absurd scientific declarations about the conditions on discovered planets light years away. They make declarations about the climate of the planet and the possibility of water being present. But when you examine the claims you'll find the arguments are built on speculative theories which themselves are based on rather dubious speculative theories. By the time you're done, you're left wondering if they know anything more than that a star shimmered for a moment. It's a tiny hook upon which they hang an anvil. Such is the Russian narrative.
There's actually a tremendous story here and Putin is certainly no angel and yet for the sake of truth one almost has to defend him in order to get back to neutral ground.
Did the Soviet Union meddle in elections? Most certainly. Has Russia meddled in Caucasian and Central Asian politics? Again, there is little doubt. Is it plausible that Russia would meddle in Eastern European politics? It is plausible but in that case it would only be because the US has already meddled in the politics of all these regions and in Russia's own political process. The US has a virtual multi-billion dollar archipelago of organisations involved in political manipulation. Some are directly connected to the US government, others are through proxies connected to the Deep State. I won't even pretend all these organisations act in concert. The fact that the US is the major purveyor of political manipulation in the world does not preclude the question of Russian meddling in the 2016 US presidential election and yet the dubious and nebulous evidence, the patently manipulative media campaign and the way in which the narrative is being worked by the Establishment gives any thinking person serious cause to doubt and question the 'official story'.
The fact that such doubts seem to aid or vindicate the Trump faction just adds to the frustration and the seeming Catch-22 aspect of this debate. The public (aided by a deceitful media) seems stuck in a binary false dilemma/mode of thought with regard to political questions. Everything is zero-sum, either points scored for the GOP or the DNC. At this point anyone who is reasonably educated, moral and at all contemplative has moved beyond this false system and its bogus narratives regarding politics and American culture.
Democracy cannot function when the truth is declared to be treasonous. By definition the political system has become a lie. The same is true when it comes to the media. News, always subject to bias and interests crosses the line and becomes propaganda. Or another alternative, and one possible (if inevitable) in profit-based news systems, propaganda is blended with entertainment... the latter generating both profits and generating distraction.
I hate to sound like Trump but if the evil politicos are to be denounced and decried it must be understood that the entirety of their schemes and projects depend on a compliant and prostituted media. These people bear a tremendous amount of the blame. They have paved the road and made a smooth path for those who would rule the world and must engage in evil deeds to do so. It's no wonder the various faces so familiar to the public, the hosts of the shows, the anchors and in-house experts... are all millionaires. They all are part of the Establishment class and have a vested interest in its success and perpetuation.
As the second article points out, they are leading the world to the brink. The system is in crisis and at this point it would seem they are willing to go to war in order to preserve the system they hold so dear. The situation all but changes by the day. Trump seems to counter the anti-Russia campaign but at the same time his administration has in many ways ramped up and escalated the tension with Moscow. Sometimes uncertainty is the most dangerous condition of all.
But one thing is clear, the Anti-Russia campaign has little if nothing to do with actual concerns for American security. The campaigners have more than once shown their hand and without meaning to they have revealed that they're not actually worried about Trump collaborating with Moscow. It's a game... but a very dangerous one.
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2 comments:

  1. I remember a scene in the film 'The Good Shepherd', when they shoot up a captured Soviet spy with sodium pentothol. He begins to laugh hysterically, saying the USSR is painted-over rust, and the US knows it. It's clear the USSR had dominion in Eastern Europe and Central Asia, but such controlled dated back to the Czars. In many ways, the global communist threat was a fiction that helped to pull together a global foreign policy, tying states together as a grand conspiracy that were nothing of the sort. All the lies to forge a global hegemony that can pretend to be anything but. Sort of makes you miss old-fashioned Roman imperialism, when the state was a god, the emperor was worshiped, and foreign policy seemed straightforward enough. There was no need to concoct a grand conspiracy of German barbarians and Persians threatening the little republic on the Tiber.

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  2. A good summary thus far..... though the narrative changes by the day.

    https://fair.org/home/the-utility-of-the-russiagate-conspiracy/

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