Already there are cracks appearing in the 2019 Aachen Treaty
which was signed by France and Germany in the former Carolingian capital.
Charlemagne's Frankish Empire ruled over lands that would
later be split into the regions France, Burgundy and the German lands. Burgundy
would at times become a powerful state but ultimately crumbled and was parceled
into the Low Countries and divided (with no little contention) between Germany
and France.
And yet after World War II, Paris and Berlin were determined
to avoid war and their historic enmity. The EU was supposed to unite all of
Europe and while the union still exists and there is peace, there are signs of
weakness. France and Germany have taken steps to forge an even closer union
between their nations. This union can be interpreted variously as an EU within
the EU or as a prudent step to guard against coming fragmentation. A collapsed
EU (and perhaps an obsolete or defunct NATO) will breed chaos and rekindle
historical fires. And yet regardless of whatever happens, the Aachen bloc is
determined to remain united. The ghosts of history and war may haunt the rest
of Europe but not France and Germany.
At least that's the plan.
However, there are other historical forces at work. In stages
from the late 1950's to 1966, Charles de Gaulle took France out of the NATO
command structure and many people believe he was targeted for these and other
actions Washington and its allies deemed unacceptable. The OAS which opposed de
Gaulle on the basis of his Algeria policy was known to have collaborated with
the CIA in opposing him. Born in Franco's Spain, the Far-Right paramilitary organisation
(which was also comprised of former Vichy figures) attempted more than once to
assassinate the French general and leader of the wartime resistance.
De Gaulle steered France onto a different course, opposing both the United States and the UK. Still very
much a part of Europe, post-war France rejected the American narrative regarding
its claims to Classical Liberalism and its Atlanticist leadership of that
heritage.
Many French leaders and intellectuals viewed American
democracy as a farce and America as an enemy of the Liberal values of the
Revolution.
Under de Gaulle France sought to offer an alternative to the
American dominated Atlanticist paradigm. France sought diplomatic relations
with the USSR and certainly had a different take on US actions in Indochina,
American nuclear doctrine and even questions regarding the larger Francophone (post-colonial)
world.
An ally to the United States, but one that irritated
Washington and was not granted a great deal of trust, de Gaulle forged a unique
path that certainly challenged Washington's claims and aspirations.
This legacy survived more or less intact into the 2000's,
when a shift began to take place. Under Nicolas Sarkozy, France seemed to
embrace Atlanticism and acquiesce to the so-called indispensability of the
United States. In 2008, France was brought back into the NATO command structure
and Sarkozy played a large part in the US campaign to overthrow Qaddafi in
2011. Hollande, his successor was less exciting to the business community but
the new French president continued Sarkozy's pro-America stance and was
generally speaking well received and appreciated in Washington.
Macron who came to power in 2017 appeared to be fully on
board with this new pro-American phase of French policy but over the course of the
Trump administration, there have been some subtle and not-so-subtle shifts.
Tensions have developed over trade and tariffs, foreign policy and general
strategic goals. This has led to Macron openly declaring that NATO is 'brain
dead'... a statement which could be interpreted as a criticism of the
organisation and its raison d'être or specifically a criticism of the Trump
administration and American leadership.
Regardless, the
comment didn't go down well and startled some. No doubt those who responded
negatively to the creation of the Aachen Bloc and continued talk of creating an
EU military force were threatened by it. Additionally much to the ire of some
in the Atlantic Establishment, Macron has sought to reach out to Russia's
Vladimir Putin. While such a move would certainly mystify some in the United
States or be viewed in nefarious terms, a Eurocentric (non Atlanticist) mindset
provides an easy explanation. Macron realises (correctly) that Europe must
establish a modus vivendi with
Russia. Permanent antagonism is pointless and will harm Europe in the long term.
It was only in the Cold War context of American dominated Atlanticism that such
an anti-Moscow posture was even possible. With America increasingly out of the
picture, Macron realises that it would be better to find a way to get along with
Putin rather than increase tensions.
Additionally with Merkel as something of a lame duck, and in light of Brexit, Macron
is positioning himself as the most consequential political figure on the
continent, rivaled only by the maladroit and lumbering bureaucracy of Brussels.
In terms of direct action, and especially in light of the Trump era, Macron is
emerging as Europe's man of action and de
facto leader.... a would be de Gaulle?
Things seem to be moving in that direction. Once again the
result of the 2020 US presidential election will play a role in determining how
these questions are answered but no one in the American Establishment wants to
see France return to the era of de Gaulle.
See also:
https://proto-protestantism.blogspot.com/2018/04/cracks-in-atlantic-wall.html
See also:
https://proto-protestantism.blogspot.com/2018/04/cracks-in-atlantic-wall.html
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