06 April 2020

Covid-19 and Project Venezuela


The US seems to have shifted its posture with regard to Venezuela's Juan Guaido. Though touted by Trump and given a profile boost by his invitation to the State of the Union in February of 2020, the truth is he has failed to oust Nicolas Maduro and his campaign has effectively lost its momentum.


Washington has been pushing for an out-and-out coup d'état but now there is suggestion of a diplomatic solution and the proposal of a transitional government. Increased pressure is being put on Maduro as the US has charged him with drug trafficking and put a large price on his head.
So what has changed? Apart from the lagging campaign, the long-term frustration and the fact that Trump wants an international 'win' during an election year, there's Covid-19. The virus pandemic hasn't hit its full stride yet in Venezuela but many suspect that it's on the horizon and it will be potentially devastating for the now broken and impoverished country. In light of the looming social catastrophe there will be a great deal of pressure on Washington to lift sanctions... sanctions which already kill but will be more noticeable and public when the US is blocking materials needed to combat the pandemic. This is an already an issue with regard to Tehran but the Iranian state is strong enough to hold its society together and control not only unrest but the flow of information. And this is despite the propaganda campaign being waged against it by both the White House and the likes of Benjamin Netanyahu.
Additionally, Guaido supporters can't legitimately engage in public protests and marches during a virus lockdown. At that point their political action becomes a public menace in terms of spreading the virus and they will face international condemnation. So though the actions have largely failed, the reality is they're going to have to stop altogether.
Guaido (in concert with Washington) may seek to provoke a crisis or may even act at the height of the pandemic, if indeed it really comes in force to Venezuela. No one really knows or can account for its erratic and inconsistent progression. And yet for the moment the US has switched gears and is trying to engineer an election, one that it can manipulate but it needs to change the pieces on the board in order to do so. Maduro knows this and obviously opposes the move.
American media like the Washington Post are more or less in keeping with the US Establishment line... an Establishment that actually had to push Trump into acting in Venezuela. The paper's banner states that 'Democracy Dies in Darkness', when the truth is it dies in the hands of the oligarchs. This is true not just for the people of Venezuela but also in the United States itself.
The DeCamp article at Antiwar.com focuses on Attorney General William Barr and his role in the Noriega affair. And indeed it is noteworthy that Barr is playing a key part in the Madura narco-trafficking charges and yet in other respects the analogy fails. Maduro is no Noriega, no rogue satrap, no agent that's still functioning past his expiration date. And yet in examining Panama, there's some real insight in how the US operates and in the machinations of a coup or regime change. There are the 'above board' moves in the legal and diplomatic sphere as well as the clandestine and often violent actions taking place behind the scenes.
On another level the Barr story is interesting because at present the Roman Catholic attorney general is praised and championed by Evangelicals for his defense of a moral and 'Christian' society and yet it would be wise to remember that his hands are actually dripping in blood. Thousands of civilians died in the contrived and deceitful Panama invasion which took place in 1989 just weeks after the fall of the Berlin Wall – and the timing was clearly no accident or coincidence. A geopolitical signal and the beginning of a long campaign of Cold War house-cleaning, the invasion also vigorously re-asserted the powers of the Unitary Executive, the near imperial powers claimed by the president and certain factions within Right-wing politics.
Barr would be rewarded with his first turn at attorney general and throughout the 1990's he continued to support US militarism. In fact it's been a hallmark of his career. A manipulator of the law, constitution and one rightly labeled as a warmonger, Barr is a deeply immoral and corrupt person. It is a sad but not surprising irony that Evangelical leaders like Albert Mohler extol him and seek to ally with his causes. When it comes to politics and the quest for power Evangelicals have no problem with thieves, liars and murderers. If they can get the job done, then they are heroes indeed.
The issue of drugs in the Colombian-Venezuelan theatre continues to be a pool of muddied water in which it's hard to know just who is telling the truth. The safest bet (and the data suggests as much) is that all sides are involved in the drugs trade. It's just too lucrative and too convenient a way to fund off-the-books operations. Washington, Wall Street and their regional proxies (such as the Right-wing paramilitaries in Colombia) have also been heavily involved. The CIA has long relied on the drug trade and the Oliver North-Noriega-Contra connection is also part of that story. So it must be remembered that whatever the charges are against Maduro, there is a great deal of hypocrisy at work and frankly, no one is to be trusted.
Is Maduro corrupt? Of course. Who can doubt it? But given the history of US-Venezuela relations and all that has taken place regionally over the past fifty years... there's a context for the rise of Bolivarianism and the so-called Pink Tide and it's a story the US media simply won't entertain, and I wouldn't trust them to tell it anyway. At best a PBS Frontline show might broach the topic but it would prove a certain whitewash and manipulation of the facts... even while a few tidbits of truth were thrown in for credibility's sake, the same tidbits which would anger and frustrate any Right-wing watchers and drive them to label PBS as Left-wing. I've watched this sort of thing play out on dozens of occasions. Truly, the only way people can understand is to have changed hearts and a change in allegiance.
Empires and nations will always scheme against one another. This present evil age is one of wars and rumours of war. But people are dying and it is a shame and disgrace that the architects of such policies are cheered on by Christian leaders and that many Christians are eager to jump on the bandwagon, echo the propaganda and even engage in violence, a kind of blind willingness (or willfulness) to assert and acquire power.
The people of Venezuela are suffering. They have been let down, even betrayed by their leaders but they are also like a football being kicked about and used by powers that seek after their resources and treasures. The fact that tens of thousands have been killed by sanctions is something Americans don't care about. Instead they applaud as Juan Guaido a creature of the US stands up and receives accolade.
Finally, it needs to be understood that even while people are dying here in the locked-down United States, the planners and architects of US imperialism are not idle. They are already planning for the days after the pandemic and looking to capitalise on it. With hearts of stone they continue to plot and plan, spreading death and destruction in the name of democracy of course.

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