A watershed moment to be sure. Evangelical populations in
Latin America have exploded in recent decades even as membership in the Roman
Catholic Church has declined. The Pentecostal Movement played no small role in
this transformation as it is the main driver of the Evangelical Movement and
also has played a significant role in modifying the region's Catholicism.
Cultural norms and standards are subject to change with these
shifts. The political power of Catholicism is waning even as Evangelicals have
largely made peace with Rome in other contexts. Indeed, in the United States
the Evangelical Movement and a significant element with Conservative
Catholicism have forged something of a socio-political alliance. This detente
has been less successful in the Latin America context where the differences are
more acute and there is lingering bitterness over the culture war these two
groups have fought.
And yet, secularism is rising and it's possible that in
another generation the two groups may experience an alliance as seen in the
United States.
One thing is certain. Evangelicalism is politically oriented.
The Latin American movements also have ties to both North American Evangelical
groups and in many cases Right wing political organisations deeply entrenched
within Washington. Various permutations of Dominion Theology motivate these
groups and you can be sure this will continue to affect Latin America politics
– all the more as the region has within the last decade made a significant turn
to the Right – a reaction to the Leftist wave that arose in the late 1990's and
early 2000's. There is a veritable cultural and political struggle at work in
the region and this changing demographic will play a significant part in the
struggle. It also is without a doubt a conduit for American Right-wing
influence and money which has been pouring into the region.
This reality also fueled a shift in thinking with American
GOP circles that grew during the Obama era. The modern Republican Party which
has often been perceived as racist and anti-immigration attempted to break with
its past. The movement has laboured to promote any minorities within its ranks
and in light of the Culture War, many GOP intellectuals believed the Party
needed to embrace the Latino immigrants as many are socially conservative and
Roman Catholic. Declining support among the mainstream population has meant
that the Republican Party needed to find and incorporate a new demographic. The
Latino community was viewed as the solution to this problem and party leaders
had been attempting to lay the groundwork for this – also seen in the promotion
of Latino political candidates.
This shift was underway even though it apparently had little
support among the grass roots members of the Party. Enter Donald Trump. The
current president smashed this strategy and banished it from the party's
platform and rhetoric and pursued a harsh anti-immigration policy. While his
predecessor had sometimes been called the 'Deporter in Chief' the Trump policy
was more caustic, confrontational and even brutal.
As a result of Trumpism the party has abandoned the Latino
strategy and has instead picked up disillusioned Rust Belt whites – formerly members
of trade unions and longtime supporters of the Democratic Party. Will this work
in the long term? It's hard to know for sure but this also helps to explain why
the party pushed for Biden – a perceived Blue Collar/Conservative-type
Democrat, the very sort of candidate the Rust Belt types will go for – a candidate
that would remind them of the Democratic Party of the 1960's-1980's. That's the
battle of the moment, but in the meantime the shift among Latinos is still
underway and though it has fallen by the wayside this election cycle, it's
still an issue and a hot one south of the US border – as Latinos in the United
States are still connected to their countries of origin and the social and
political movements at work in these societies.
This Latin American transformation continues to leave many
top thinkers within the GOP with a sense of unease and pending crisis. They
will (at some point) have to remedy the situation caused by Trump – and do so
while keeping the Trump base within the party. They don't want to alienate the
Evangelicals and Right wing movements within Latin America – with their deep
connections to the US social structure and economy. This is a developing story
and the Evangelical angle just further complicates the issue and from the
standpoint of New Testament Christianity – which is opposed to both Charismatic
and Dominionist Theology – it represents a troublesome if not troubling aspect
to the equation.
Of course we want to see people converted – especially away
from Roman Catholicism. But to what end? And what role will these people play
and how will they be used by the various forms of political Christianity? And
when the fires of culture war rage what will be the result? What will happen to
the testimony of the Church and the Biblical gospel? What will it look like
when the dust settles?
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