Sri Lanka's Sirisena administration which came to power in
2015 appeared to represent a shift away from the pro-Beijing policies of Rajapaksa.
But for various reasons this has not proven to be the case.
Sri Lanka in massive debt to China, approved the Hambantota
port deal, more or less handing over a portion of their country to Chinese
control. Located in one of the districts most loyal to former president
Rajapaksa, protests have erupted in opposition to the government plan and the
Chinese presence.
Rajapaksa seems to support these protests, arguing that China
is getting too much out of the deal. This is particularly cynical as it was his
administration more than any other which invited the Chinese into Sri Lanka and
indebted his nation to them. Is this anti-Chinese move a tactic to oppose the
Sirisena government or has Rajapaksa flipped?
By flipped I don't mean to suggest he's crazy, rather has he
changed sides?
Sirisena who is trying to balance IMF requirements, debts to
Beijing and also play off the complicated posturing of Washington, New Delhi
and Beijing seems vulnerable.
If Rajapaksa can posture as an Anti-Chinese nationalist and
is willing to 'cut a deal' with India and Washington then it wouldn't be all
that surprising if he's got some money, support and perhaps even some
provocateurs giving him assistance.
This may be just Rajapaksa scheming, but given the stakes and
the reinvigoration of the Pivot policy under Trump, one thing is clear...
The Washington-New Delhi alliance does not want to see Sri
Lanka break ranks. The US has suffered setbacks in the Philippines and the
situation in Indonesia has become volatile. Canberra isn't quite breaking away
from Washington's grip but Trump is not earning any favour. Australia will
comply. They have to and they (with Indonesia) know from 40-50 years ago what
will happen if they don't, but opposing China is not in their interest and with
the way they've been treated by Obama, Biden and now Trump one imagines there's
little zeal to support the American agenda.
Meanwhile the Christians in Sri Lanka, some of whom live in
the very district where the port is to be built are caught in the middle of the
great chess game.
A small but significant move toward the West, one that can be utilised by Western bureaucrats as leverage vis-a-vis Beijing's interests.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.euractiv.com/section/economy-jobs/news/sri-lanka-regains-valuable-eu-trade-concession/
Update regarding IMF moves to force Colombo in austerity
ReplyDeletehttps://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2017/11/25/slbd-n25.html
Japan has handed over two naval patrol boats worth over $11 million to Sri Lanka in a bid to boost the country’s defense. A week earlier the US State Department gave $39 million to Colombo to strengthen the country’s navy capabilities.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.eyesrilanka.com/2018/08/24/us-japan-wooing-sri-lanka-to-contain-chinas-rise-in-into-pacific/