22 December 2021

The EU and the Indo-Pacific

https://www.euractiv.com/section/global-europe/opinion/the-eus-role-in-the-indo-pacific-becoming-a-geopolitical-actor/

German parliamentarian and MEP David McAllister speaks for a large section of the European ruling class. There is both an air of opportunism and necessity underlying his commentary – his plea for Europe to expand its interests into the Asia-Pacific region.


First there is the desire to see Atlanticism perpetuated. The US remains the dominant power and while the rise of the EU represents something of a rivalry, there is still a unity vis-à-vis the powers of Eurasia. As America's attention is directed toward the Asia-Pacific region there are some such as McAllister who believe it's in Europe's interest to participate – to have a stake in the struggle and hopefully benefit from whatever rewards it might bring.

For those wary of China, it only makes sense to participate and expand the field and to not view the EU's relationship with China in isolation from Eurasia's larger geopolitical questions.

By focusing primarily on US allies in the region, the EU will earn the favour of Washington and many doors will be opened to trade, arms sales and the like. For the EU-Atlanticist establishment there is every reason to look east.

But it's not that simple. Atlanticism is also in danger and by some estimations in decline. And so if time and events prove this to be the case it is also in Europe's interest to look East. There is money to be made and deals to be brokered and now that Moscow is expressing interest in the region as recently demonstrated by the Moscow-ASEAN naval exercises, then it's in the interest of Brussels to win good will and establish relationships. Such a move can slow Chinese growth, check Russian power, and (for the foreseeable future) curry favour with the USA and its allies.

And if or when the US begins to fade and recede in terms of its power and influence, Europe will stand ready to fill the void – a void that will be filled by someone, and so from the standpoint of Brussels and the other power-centres in Europe – it might as well be the EU.

Further there is another consideration. Whether the EU as a bloc gets involved, individual EU-member states are regardless. As the article mentions France is involved – all the more given its historical interests. Germany and the Netherlands are also investing and looking for opportunities. As these nations pursue their own goals, their geopolitical strategies and perhaps even dilemmas are divorced from Europe as a whole. Money and attention will be focused on these regions and like it or not the EU as a whole – both diplomatically and financially will be entangled. So rather than allow the interests of individual states to dominate, the European Establishment wants to see a more managed and coherent strategy. Individual nations will be unable to stand up to China and Russia but the EU as a bloc has a chance.

As expected all these goals which are related to power and money are clothed and washed in the trappings of humanitarianism. This is the way these projects are marketed and it's a time tested and proven way to win over the Left to what are essentially Right-wing goals of the capitalist class.

Finally, as the European project is itself in jeopardy, a tilt toward Asia would introduce financial, diplomatic, and ultimately military dynamism. The EU is an imperial conglomerate that is riven with dissension and internal threats. Projecting attention and potential conflict outwardly is an old strategy meant to unify and given the threats from within it's safe to say that the EU as a power must advance and strengthen or it will stagnate, crumble from within, and die.

See also:

https://pilgrimunderground.blogspot.com/2019/12/movement-and-summits-in-central-asia-eu.html

https://pilgrimunderground.blogspot.com/2021/01/fiscal-and-diplomatic-cracks-in.html

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.