25 November 2020

The al Qaeda-Iran Narrative 2.0

https://mondoweiss.net/2020/11/front-page-ny-times-story-on-iran-al-qaeda-links-is-dishonest-and-could-help-justify-a-u-s-israeli-attack/

These were also my thoughts upon reading the Times article. I was thinking of the Bush years and how they had tried to push that angle – Iran and al Qaeda – and how it repeatedly came to nothing.


It's not unheard of for Iran to give shelter to Salafis – which usually are sworn-to-death enemies of the Shia. The Afghan mujahideen warlord Gulbuddin Hekmatyar (who later allied with the Taliban) took refuge in Iran in the mid-to-late 1990's but his stay was hardly cordial. Tehran (which was strongly opposed to the Taliban and its persecution of Afghani Shia) contemplated using Hekmatyar but never did.

But generally speaking the story (if true at all) would mark more of an exception than a rule. But it certainly makes Iran look bad – which I'm afraid is probably the goal.

And there's also this:

https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-iran-security-iraq-turkey/iran-pounds-rebels-in-northwestern-border-area-state-media-idUKKBN27U0O3

It's curious that the Kurds are generating a military response just now. Generally speaking the Kurdish factions in Iran are not very active. Almost all the attention is usually focused on the Kurds of Iraq and Southeastern Turkey. The timing is interesting in light of the current 'buzz' or chatter concerning plans for a Trump-Netanyahu strike on Tehran.

There's also talk of the US hitting the Iranian nuclear facility. The US is trying to hype Tehran's activities – which wouldn't even be happening apart from Trump's scrapping of the JCPOA (The Iran Nuclear Deal) in 2018. Some of Iran's activities are also attempts at reconstructing facilities that have been destroyed by means of sabotage – undoubtedly at the hands of the Mossad, CIA, or both. Sabotage and assassinations have been occurring at a pretty regular pace for some time now. Their rebuilding of sabotaged facilities is being touted as 'aggressive upticks' or 'expanding activities' – which actually isn't true or rather is only true if one ignores the destruction of said facilities – which is exactly what Western media is doing.

US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo is also making the rounds at the moment. Some are calling it his farewell tour. Is it? Or is it a planning session? While visiting places like the Friends of Zion Museum (largely devoted to Christian Zionists) he made a provocative trip to the West Bank and Golan Heights. One is reminded of Ariel Sharon's visit to the Temple Mount that sparked an intifada. Trump for his part is happy to burn the house down as he leaves. Pompeo who has further political ambitions should (by most estimations) be a little more cautious.

And there is the other elephant in the room – Lebanon and with it Syria. The US has its interests in these countries and both (via Assad and Hezbollah) are tied in with Iran.

Let's hope cooler heads prevail but the Trump is administration is sending some disconcerting signals.

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