28 December 2019

Inbox: What can the Uighurs do?


Given the magnitude of the Chinese clampdown in the Xinjiang region, the Uighur people face unimaginable pressure to abandon their culture and embrace a Han Chinese identity. Beijing's campaign will within a generation all but eliminate Uighur culture. While they are a Muslim population, from a Christian perspective the ethics of resistance are worth exploration. This is all the more true when we apply the same categories to the Church in the People's Republic and even (to some degree) the events taking place in Hong Kong.
As Christians, how can we analyse such situations and how would we respond in accord with the ethics of the New Testament?


For the Uighurs there are a few basic choices. They can fight, kill and be killed and hope that their numbers are sufficient to break Beijing's grip. Considering that they would be highly outgunned, they would be forced to resort to paramilitary (or guerilla) methods and they would have to be prepared to sacrifice great numbers to achieve their goals.
They would also have to decide as to whether or not they would want a settlement with Beijing or complete autonomy. With the latter, the larger Han populations in places like Ürümqi would have to be reckoned with. Would they want them repatriated to the People's Republic or would a Uighur state allow them to stay?
Additionally this scenario would depend on outside assistance. Guerilla movements usually depend on support from the local population as well as outside aid in the form of weapons, logistics and intelligence. The Uighurs, should they decide to launch a massive campaign, would certainly receive this help via Washington... with some difficulty in the logistics. Indeed even now Washington all but harbours key figures associated with East Turkestan (as opposed to Xinjiang) independence. Washington would either have to operate 'over the hump' of the Himalayas as they did when aiding the Tibetans in the 1950's and 1960's, or find some other means. Of course for this to happen they would have to be granted permission by India (to use their airspace and airfields) and likewise the timing seems right. The Modi government would likely entertain such a scenario. As an aside Washington would also love to pull Modi even further into their camp with the hope of breaking apart the BRICS banking conglomerate.
Washington would also undoubtedly operate out of Afghanistan but given the geographic restrictions of the Wakhan Corridor it would be difficult to move materiel without detection and considerable resistance on the part of the Chinese. Yet the mountains of Afghanistan have proven difficult for all armies. Since 2001 the US has failed in holding them but they also utilised them in the 1980's to bring support to the mujahideen who were fighting the Soviets. At the time Washington had a friend in Pakistan, a relationship now severely strained. As things stand today it is unlikely that Islamabad would support a US campaign in support of a Xinjiang-Uighur uprising.
Staging operations in Central Asia are a possibility but politically difficult and nations such as Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan and Tajikistan would be wary as they would expect Chinese interference within their own borders.
Another alternative would be the Uighurs could choose to give up violent resistance. They can rely on their exile community to preserve their culture and rely on its help to rekindle it at some future time. This has been the tactic of the Tibetans after the disasters of 1959 and 1972. The former date is a reference to the Dalai Lama's flight and exile to Northern India and the second date is of course a reference to Nixon's rapprochement with China and the end of open US support for Tibetan independence.
However the Uighurs do not have a centralising figure like the Dalai Lama who more or less embodies their culture and additionally after 60 years of exile, some are beginning to doubt the viability of such a strategy. A lot will depend on what happens when the present Dalai Lama dies and is replaced.
Another option, the Christian option (as it were) is the path of non-resistance. That does not mean total acquiescence. In the case of persecution or great oppression there is the option of refusal... refuse on a massive population-wide scale.
Refusal is not the same as resistance. There is a significant and substantial difference.
I'm not speaking of Gandhi's doctrine and practice of Nonviolence. That's using nonviolent tactics to confront and force political change... ultimately it's a move made by a disenfranchised group to gain a foothold within the political process. Victory will in many cases mean an opportunity to actually seize control. It's actually a form of manipulation, a literal case of passive-aggressive behaviour.
But like refusal, Nonviolence uses tactics wherein the involved persons (refusers or in other cases activists) are willing to suffer for their principles. They are willing to be beaten, jailed and even killed.
Some have argued that Gandhi's success was due to the fact that he was up against the British Empire, an empire with a concept of morality and the rule of law and conscience. Gandhi might have disputed these claims as the British Empire could in fact be profoundly immoral and duplicitous, arbitrary and manipulative and at times indifferent to suffering and human life. Millions died as a result of British policy though the impact of these crimes is diluted as it was spread out over more than a century. This fact has allowed imperial powers such as Britain, France and America to escape being associated with the criminality and murderous practices of regimes such as the Third Reich or even the USSR... their millions were killed within a relatively short time.
Nevertheless even Gandhi understood that his overall strategy would prove very difficult in the face of something like Nazi Germany. Could the Jews have utilised his tactics? People have been asking this question for decades. With reason many have argued that the Germans would have killed the Jews on a massive scale (as indeed they did) and yet the killing would have taken place in the context of street protests. It would have been public in front of the German population and not secreted away in concentration and death camps. Would the German population have reacted? Would they have begun to resist? It depends on whether you believe the secrecy of the camps and the Final Solution were critical to the German plan, not just in terms of the wider world but even with reference to their domestic population. Certainly the high command wanted to keep the public in a state of ignorance. Did they fear a reaction? Clearly they feared something.
Such counterfactual questions are hard to answer but there's a chance that domestic resistance to Hitler might have begun in earnest in the 1930's had that path been taken. Who can say?
The bottom line is this... a lot of people would have to be willing to die. I think it more likely that Gandhi would have found such persons in a culture such as India as opposed to bourgeois European Jewry.
While I would argue that the New Testament rejects politically motivated activism on the part of Christians, including nonviolent activist tactics (and thus the Hong Kong resistance should be rejected), we are nevertheless called to refuse at times, refuse in the context of non-resistance. And so once again if a massive number of people (assuming there are large numbers of Christians) simply refuse to follow the laws which they deem sinful and continue to do so in face of punishment and death... will the offending magistrate cease and desist, and back down? To put it simply, it depends.
For Christians within China, there's at least a possibility that the larger public may begin to object to Beijing's iron fist and begin to sympathise with the persecuted. But then again, maybe not. You can be sure the Chinese state will do all it can to hide such actions and encourage people to look the other way.
The situation is even worse in Xinjiang because apart from places like Ürümqi, the Han populace won't even see the oppression and the crackdown. If Beijing is willing to endure international criticism, the scenario suggests the Uighurs cannot attain any kind of settlement through this means.
Christians are called to take up the cross and flee if need be. The price may indeed be terrible. It is no child's play to follow the Lamb and indeed we are encouraged not to fear those who can harm the body but He who can destroy the soul. The price may be the ultimate one. Christ did so for us, we can do no less... as terrible as that is to contemplate.
I believe Providence will likely intervene in the case of Christians and at some point Beijing will relax the policy due to external pressures. The Christian community should be careful to divorce itself from external political pressures... otherwise persecution is transformed into punishment and refusal is transformed into resistance.... bringing down the condemnation of Romans 13.
The American Church (generally speaking) has not understood even one iota of this concept and will continue to push the American Empire to war against the Chinese Empire for the sake of the Christians and liberal values. This is a tragic mistake which destroys the testimony of the suffering believers within China. Of course their own community has brought forth leaders who have also embraced this unfortunate ideology and the heretical theology which undergirds it.... another gift from the American Church.
In my opinion the Uighurs will fight. A low-key conflict has been taking place for more than a decade but it has been ineffective and half-hearted. I expect this to change over the next few years and I'm sure Washington will be involved. If the US can get a friendly government installed in Turkey, that nation will also play a key role, as even today it is the chief haven for the Uighur exile community.
The tangle is this... the most effective way to combat Beijing in Xinjiang is to root the struggle in Islam and thus in Salafist forms of political violence as represented by groups such as the al Qaeda affiliated East Turkestan Islamic Movement (ETIM).*
The US has used Islamic fighters before and likely will again but this is 2019 in Central Asia.... not 1979 in Afghanistan. It's a little trickier to work out the logistics and hide one's hand. Washington has 'supported' groups like al Qaeda in the past and continues to do so at present in select locations and conflicts. But to do so in Xinjiang at the present and not be observed by the world is difficult. But I'm confident there are people working on it. In fact I'm confident there's a grand plan in place, it's just a matter of putting the pieces together and timing it right.
Sadly I believe the coordinated plan will involve resistance and disturbance coming from within the Christian community in the People's Republic and it will forever tarnish their witness and the witness and testimony of Christians within the United States. It will have repercussions for Western-connected Christian communities across the globe. They will forever after be viewed as insurgents, a fifth column to be watched and feared.
------
*As the report linked below indicates, obviously the Pentagon claims otherwise when it comes to the ETIM. But given the source and the seeming contradictions in US policy, I'm left wondering just how valid the report is. It wouldn't be the first time the US has waged a phony war. While the US doesn't want ETIM fighters disturbing the Kabul government, and they didn't want them bombing the 2008 Olympics, they do want them to make trouble in China and they certainly wanted them to operate in Syria as part of the anti-Assad militias.
See also:
This article contains numerous references to the ETIM.

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.