04 January 2020

Trump +1079: Military Schisms, the Legality of Assassination and Iran


There's been something of a military schism at work within the Trump administration. For some time it's been an open secret that the special forces are more or less out of control. Twenty years of endless war, and certainly war of this kind has proven to be a golden age for these groups and they've grown wild and undisciplined.


The stories of murders and posing with corpses have shocked some but that's because their memories are short or they remain ignorant of just what war really is. Vietnam was replete with stories of American soldiers committing large-scale massacres, rape, taking trophies, mutilating enemy bodies and the like. That's what war is. It turns men into beasts, more animals than men. If you go digging, you'll find similar stories in Korea and certainly in World War II. Many Americans would be shocked by some of the stories of how their 'boys' behaved in France, Germany, Italy and Japan.
And the stories have been leaking out for years about the conduct of American troops in Iraq and Afghanistan. The senior military leadership has grown alarmed and they're determined to get a handle on the situation. They either remember directly or have heard the stories of what happened to the US military by the early 1970's. It was in a state of near collapse and this was amplified by the day-to-day dangers of the Indochina theatre as well as growing aggravation with the draft. The war was unwinnable and everyone knew the US was just looking for an exit strategy. No one wanted to die for that, for a war that had already abandoned its meaning and goals. This was especially true of those had been conscripted. There were mutinies, open drug use and other defiant behaviour but there were also the mental breakdowns and the bad conduct.
While the American wars of the 21st century have been able to avoid the conscription related issues of mutiny and general insubordination they have not been exempt from the barbarism that all war generates... especially counter-insurgency. An army of occupation fighting a semi-underground paramilitary or guerilla force will always result in great anger and violence toward the civilian populations... and nothing less than rage directed at captured enemies.
It's obvious some of these soldiers have 'snapped' and have abandoned any modicum of humanity and yet the propagandised and provincial public, frustrated by wars that cannot be won and wars they cannot understand, continues to cry for blood and vengeance and many support this sort of behaviour and some even publicly admit it. Decades of video game and Hollywood violence and no small dose of xenophobia and a bit of racism also factor into the equation, producing a public that celebrates blood and violence and in some cases they really want to see more of it. It's a refrain I hear all the time. But this is dangerous and the military leadership knows it. Hotheaded behaviour undermines authority and in other situations it can aggravate already delicate situations and lead to undesired results. The military doesn't want superheroes or Rambo's. It wants obedient robots that follow orders and don't exercise individual initiative or allow themselves to be overwhelmed by personal emotions.
The US military has attempted to 'clean house' and was in the process of clamping down on the military when Trump intervened and pardoned the SEAL Edward Gallagher who has been accused of war crimes. This played to his political base and proved popular among those who have the 'wipe them all out' mentality .
However the military leadership was furious and tried to resist. They have been largely appreciative of Trump but many of these men treasure the institution they've given their lives to and believe Trump's actions are working to undermine it and in the long term, damage it. They wanted to make an example of Gallagher and as such resisted Trump, and there were open attempts to block Trump's orders. He was making some of the military leaders look like fools. This resulted in the firing of Navy Secretary Richard Spencer at the end of November 2019. The media should have made more of this but with impeachment and a reticence on the part of the media to shine a light on military problems... the story was sidelined. It's actually been quite scandalous and divisive within DoD circles.
The simmering controversy all but exploded as of the end of November 2019 and it's led to a sharp division within the military itself. Senior members have been shocked to see active duty military members appearing on the news denouncing either Trump or members of the military leadership that have resisted him. This in violation of all previous protocols, written and unwritten. Additionally some within Gallagher's unit were so appalled by his behaviour on the battlefield that they've taken to the airwaves to denounce him. If the 'Band of Brothers' mentality, the cohesion that governs special-ops is broken, then you can be sure the leadership is alarmed.
Again, people are upset and many are utilising the 'this isn't us' argument, which is actually untrue. It's very much in line with historic actions and behaviour. There were many Gallagher-types in Vietnam. There were even some cases of some very sick, sadistic almost serial killer types that were on the loose and served multiple tours resulting in dozens and perhaps hundreds of civilian deaths. Their behaviour was tolerated and again, this tends to happen in all wars. Those who think there are 'good wars' have been reading the wrong sorts of books, if any at all.
Trump has literally divided the military over his actions. This is true of the Gallagher case and of course there are other tensions with regard to his mostly backtracked moves in Syria. The present situation and state of tension has not been seen since the Vietnam era.
But now with the assassination of Iranian Revolutionary Guard general Qasem Soleimani, the military will be galvanised and all but forced to unite around Trump in the face of the external threat of Iran. The military is on high alert... and guess what nobody is talking about as a result?
In that very cynical sense, there is a degree of political brilliance in Trump's move. In addition to solidifying the military he has combined this action with a new campaign geared toward America's Evangelicals which he launched at a mega-church in Florida. He was cheered and applauded as he spoke of killing Soleimani. And as expected the prayers demonstrated the heretical confusion and idolatry within Evangelical thought. Trump is a Cyrus, a messiah for the movement and they have (blasphemously) confused the wars of the Empire with the flourishing and strength of the Kingdom, the political success of Trump with the cause of Christ.
Vice president Pence is playing his part in trying to promote the patent lie that Soleimani was somehow involved in the 9/11 attacks. This too is directed at the mostly ignorant Trump base that will fall for it just as they did the argument that Saddam Hussein was behind 9/11 and in other cases that they really did find WMD.
This is also a pre-emptive move on the part of the administration to cover for what was by all accounts an illegal strike. By tying Soleimani to 9/11, Pence is trying to justify the attack in terms of the Congressional authorisation for use of force... an authorisation that continues to migrate in terms of its scope. While there's little fear of international law violation, the Trump White House doesn't want to give its domestic enemies additional ammunition... whether in terms of the impeachment or the 2020 campaign. To be honest I don't think they need to worry on this point. The public won't get behind a condemnation of the killing.
Finally the attack is also a gift to the Pentagon in that Trump has continued to expand the scope of presidentially sanctioned assassination, euphemistically called 'Targeted Killing'. The definition of 'terrorism' is also being re-worked in that basically anyone opposed to US policy now falls under the designation. Terrorism which is a battlefield tactic (not a concretised movement or entity) was associated with paramilitary groups that did not operate under the aegis of a legitimate (internationally recognised) state. Members of al Qaeda were thus reckoned as de facto illegitimate. The Bush administration played this card in the whole 'detainee' game in order to circumvent the Geneva Accords, and they got away with it.
But under Trump, a terrorist is now anyone who opposes the US, apparently even if they are a uniformed member of a legitimate state. This is a line that had not previously been crossed. Don't be fooled by Congressional protests. They are certainly insincere. It's a case of theatre and token opposition. The Democrats have consistently supported the expansion of these policies. They supported Bush, Obama and now (after some smoke and mirrors) they'll support Trump too... at least on this point. They still want to take him down and may make some noise about it, but the policy shift will certainly survive the political process.
But consider the ramifications. Under the reasoning being used to justify the Soleimani strike, Trump could likewise assassinate a Russian general within Syria or even Eastern Ukraine. There are American troops occupying parts of Syria and there have been occasions when Russian troops/mercenaries and US forces have come into close proximity and even conflict.
Of course the Ukrainian government is a de facto Washington dependency. Its wars and policies are America's wars and policies... not unlike the Baghdad government.
How would the assassination of a Russian general sit in terms of the 'terrorist' argument? It wouldn't. Or imagine a situation in which the Uighurs rose up and had (with US help) carved out an independent 'East Turkestan' enclave within Xinjiang. What if the US took out a front-line Chinese general under such circumstances? The door is being thrown wide open and what some in the US Establishment fear is that the 'other side' will (in light of such policies) act along similar lines. If that's the way the game is going to be played the next Petraeus is a dead man.
The Right-wing media is already spinning this and presenting anyone who questions Trump's actions as being 'upset' that a 'terrorist' was killed. This is completely disingenuous reporting and is deliberately choosing to ignore the larger set of questions surrounding these events. This is in keeping with the campaign of deception being waged by Pence, Pompeo and others in the administration.
And while Pompeo can speak of Soleimani and his 'thugs', the truth is the US has its thugs too. One man's thug is another man's patriot-hero. From CIA operatives and assets to the death squads the US has utilised across the globe, to the out-of-control Special Forces units and the large numbers of mercenaries and 'contractors', the US has its thugs too. But once again, these terms and this mafia-esque posturing by the administration is theatre, meant to play to the base. And so far it seems to be working. And you can be sure that Evangelical leaders will rush to the fore and harshly condemn any such 'moral equivalence' in comparing 'us' and 'them'. Court theologians are always the same and we've seen it before.
While the Evangelical leadership has lashed out, attacked and effectively denounced and discredited Christianity Today over the recent pro-impeachment editorial, the truth is the editorial rattled Trump and his advisors. This explains at least in part the timing of the campaign and the Baghdad strike.
All things considered the Soleimani strike was an act of political cunning that has the potential to solve many issues for the administration and its 2020 campaign.
However the move was by all accounts reckless and for every political and domestic problem solved it has generated multiple problems in the realm of foreign policy and geopolitics. Some see it as a desperate move by an empire that sees the dream of unipolarity rapidly disappearing over the horizon. The story isn't over and so at present we cannot tell just what the results will be. Tehran is certainly weighing its options and I don't doubt that targets such as Pompeo and Pence are being considered. But they have to weigh not only the military backlash but the result in terms of American politics. Taking out prominent Evangelical politicians has the risk of backfiring and empowering Trump. Right now he's listening to the likes of Lindsey Graham and while John Bolton is out of office, clearly members of his faction are still whispering in Oval Office ears. Khamanei has to save face and I'm sure he legitimately wants to wound and certainly humiliate the Trump administration but it's no easy task. There are risks on all sides. There are lies on all sides.
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